November 27, 2025

Trimethoprim-Sulfamethoxazole and Acute Respiratory Failure in Adolescents and Young Adults

Ahmadi F, McArthur E, Garcia-Bournissen F et al.  JAMA Netw Open. 2025;8(11):e2545251. doi:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2025.45251

Key Points

Question  Is the use of trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole (TMP-SMX) associated with an increased 30-day risk of hospital visits for acute respiratory failure among healthy adolescents and young adults compared with amoxicillin or cephalosporins?

Findings  In this cohort study of adolescents and young adults aged 10 to younger than 25 years in Ontario, Canada, initiation of TMP-SMX was associated with a significantly higher 30-day risk of a hospital visit for acute respiratory failure compared with amoxicillin and cephalosporins. The absolute risk increase was small (0.02%) but consistent across sensitivity analyses.

Meaning  These findings support the US Food and Drug Administration’s warning regarding the risk of acute respiratory failure with TMP-SMX in healthy adolescents and young adults, and clinicians and regulators should carefully weigh this risk when prescribing TMP-SMX and consider updates to prescribing guidelines and product labeling.

Abstract

Importance  The US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) has issued a warning and a label change regarding a potential association between trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole (TMP-SMX) and acute respiratory failure in healthy adolescents and young adults.

Objective  To examine the 30-day risk of a hospital visit (ie, hospitalization or emergency department visit) with acute respiratory failure in adolescents and young adults aged 10 to younger than 25 years old newly dispensed oral TMP-SMX compared with new users of amoxicillin or a cephalosporin.

Design, Setting, and Participants  This retrospective, population-based, new-user cohort study in Ontario, Canada (2003-2023) used linked administrative health care data. The TMP-SMX vs amoxicillin and TMP-SMX vs cephalosporins cohorts both included adolescents and young adults aged 10 to younger than 25 years who were newly dispensed oral TMP-SMX, amoxicillin, or cephalosporins for 3 or more days from an outpatient pharmacy. Data were analyzed from January 1 to April 30, 2025.

Exposure  TMP-SMX for 3 days or more.

Main Outcomes and Measures  The primary outcome was a composite outcome of the 30-day risk of a hospital visit with acute respiratory failure (defined as a diagnosis of acute respiratory failure or receipt of mechanical ventilation, tracheotomy, or extracorporeal membrane oxygenation). Secondary outcomes were the individual components of the composite outcome, all-cause hospitalization, and all-cause mortality. Overlap weighting on the propensity score was used to balance comparison groups on 84 indicators of baseline health. Weighted risk ratios were obtained using log-binomial regression and weighted risk differences using binomial regression. Sensitivity analyses using a negative control outcome, and case-crossover analysis were also performed.


Results
  The TMP-SMX vs amoxicillin cohort included 575 218 individuals (44 801 TMP-SMX users and 530 417 amoxicillin users; median age after weighting, 19 years [IQR, 16-22 years]; 74.3% female). The TMP-SMX vs cephalosporins cohort included 248 236 individuals (51 197 TMP-SMX users and 197 039 cephalosporin users; median age after weighting, 19 years [IQR, 16-22 years]; 72.3% were female). The risk of the composite outcome occurred in 15 of 44 801 patients (0.03%) who started TMP-SMX and in 49 of 530 417 (0.01%) who started amoxicillin (number of weighted events, 7 of 21 579 [0.03%] for TMP-SMX and 2 of 21 579 [0.01%] for amoxicillin; weighted risk ratio, 2.79 [95% CI, 1.01-7.71]; weighted risk difference, 0.02% [95% CI, 0.001%-0.04%]). The risk of the composite outcome occurred in 17 of 51 197 patients (0.03%) who started TMP-SMX and in 21 of 197 039 (0.01%) who started cephalosporins (number of weighted events, 8 of 20 538 [0.04%] for TMP-SMX and 3 of 20 538 [0.01%] for cephalosporins; weighted risk ratio, 2.85 [95% CI, 1.11-7.31]; weighted risk difference, 0.02% [95% CI, 0.005%-0.05%]). Results were consistent in sensitivity analyses.

Risk of a Hospital Visit With Acute Respiratory Failure Diagnosis, Mechanical Ventilation, Tracheotomy, or ECMO in Adolescents and Young Adults Within 30 Days of Starting a New Prescription for TMP-SMX vs AMX and CEP

Conclusions and Relevance  These findings suggest that the 30-day risk of a hospital visit with acute respiratory failure was higher among those receiving TMP-SMX compared with those receiving amoxicillin or cephalosporins. These findings supported the FDA warning, and if replicated, the risks should be carefully weighed against the benefits of TMP-SMX use. Regulatory agencies could reinforce the FDA warning, and product monographs and prescribing guidelines should be updated and revised accordingly.

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